Recent Notes

View all

Business is something you make the peoples life better so there's infinite opportunities

Our capacity for harm is part and parcel of our humanity. If you never encountered any Model, Care, or Execution failur…

## Remedies ### Model problems? - supply better information. - interpersonal level: make the other person's preferences…

Fostering a culture of forgiveness with room for some mistakes makes MCE work way, way better. It allows us to make the…

Any failed action decomposes into didn't-know, didn't-want, or couldn't; belief, desire, and ability: the standard folk-…

When Alice harms Bob, it is likely that one of the following three things went wrong: - **Model**: Alice’s mental pictu…

**Identifying whether a problem is Model, Execution or Care prioritization** | How do you feel about your actions? | En…

- Beware availability - When some options are taken and others are not, there may be a good reason for the difference…

Adverse Selection is the phenomenon in which information asymmetries in non-cooperative environments make trading danger…

"people don't think what they feel, they don't say what they think, and they don't do what they say"

Understanding what people feel is difficult. We are starting to be able to measure it, but until we can, do not rely on…

businesses tend to over-optimize for measurable engineering metrics (speed, capacity, cost) while ignoring the psycholog…

Strategy is the alignment of potentially aspirations with necessarily limited capabilities

## homo economicus an idealized model of human behavior, a hypothetical creature (/caricature) who makes perfectly "rati…

# emotional inception Rather than attempting to persuade us (via our rational, analytical minds), ads prey on our emotio…

The trick I recommend is to take yourself out of the picture. Instead of asking "what problem should I solve?" ask "what…

"The vague contour of Jay Gatsby had filled out to the substantiality of a man."

This most fundamental problem of human life is so easy to overlook because our entire lives are made of the coping strat…

This is a crazy thing to notice after having been alive so many years — that your existence itself is so much to bear. T…

This is the strange condition of the human being. It’s allergic to its natural habitat, which is the present moment. In…

  • Porsche saved itself by designing an SUV around customer willingness-to-pay first, then building the product—the opposite of how most companies innovate, which is why 72% of new products fail to meet revenue targets.

    ·product·willingness-to-pay, monetization strategy, product development...
  • Model, Care, Execution

    ★★★★★

    A three-part framework for diagnosing interpersonal harm: was it a wrong mental model, misaligned priorities, or execution failure? Each requires a completely different solution.

    ·philosophy growth·MCE framework, interpersonal harm, relationship postmortems...
  • Shopify's CEO explains how he nearly killed his company by "cosplaying" as a traditional CEO, then saved it by firing his entire executive team, engineering the company like software with a literal GitHub repository, and giving employees unprecedented control over their own compensation.

    ·startups business·first principles thinking, company building, high agency...
  • A framework for understanding the AI stack: you're either the LLM (Horse), the application layer (Harness), or infrastructure (Hay)—and most founders are running the wrong playbook for their category, which is what gets them killed.

    ·ai ml·AI application layer, AI business models, AI consolidation...
  • Sam Altman admits he still uses his computer the same way he has for 20 years despite building Codex, revealing why AI adoption will be slower than anyone expects—and why that's actually good for society.

    ·ai ml·AGI, AI adoption, AI safety...
  • The real problem with the Hugging Face AI incident isn't technical—it's that we literally cannot think clearly about AI safety when every discussion anthropomorphizes AI as if it's conscious and making choices.

    ·philosophy growth·AI consciousness, anthropomorphization, category errors...
  • The 1931 P&G memo that invented product management—Neil McElroy's original proposal for dedicated brand ownership that created an entire profession still central to tech today.

    ·product·product management history, brand management, organizational design...
  • Being a great Product GM means simultaneously operating in four distinct modes: near-term GTM execution, near-term product delivery, long-term market positioning, and long-term product vision—each requiring different skills and mental models.

    ·product·product GM, product strategy, GTM strategy...
  • Toward a Broader Conception of Adverse Selection

    ★★★★★

    If you got to make the trade, it probably wasn't as good as you thought—the very fact that an option is available to you is evidence that everyone else with more information passed on it.

    ·philosophy growth·adverse selection, information asymmetry, winner's curse...
  • When buyers can't distinguish quality, markets don't just become inefficient—they collapse entirely, as bad products systematically drive out good ones until no trade occurs at any price.

    ·startups business·information asymmetry, adverse selection, market failure...
  • Ads Don't Work That Way | Melting Asphalt

    ★★★★☆

    Ads don't manipulate your emotions to change your preferences—they change what products mean in the culture, making it rational for you to buy them as social signals.

    ·philosophy growth·advertising psychology, cultural imprinting, social signaling...
  • Schlep Blindness

    ★★★★★

    Your unconscious mind filters out the best startup ideas before you even consider them—because they involve tedious, unpleasant work that scares you away from problems worth billions.

    ·startups business·schlep blindness, startup ideas, founder psychology...
  • VCs are calling out the metric inflation game: ARR has splintered into so many variants (daily revenue × 365, quarterly × 4, GMV disguised as recurring revenue) that the gold standard for SaaS valuation has become meaningless, and the same gaming pattern is spreading to every other startup metric.

    ·startups business·ARR, CARR, metric inflation...
  • Lovable's first designer joined as employee #4, was given 3 impossible problems to solve in 2 weeks, and helped build a brand around the radical idea that you can taste care in software the same way you can in food—resulting in $100M ARR in 8 months.

    ·startups business·clock speed, ownership culture, trial by fire...
  • One music teacher showed Derek Sivers he could graduate college in 2 years instead of 4 by rejecting the "standard pace for chumps"—a lesson that applies to everything in life.

    ·career·accelerated learning, self-paced education, mentorship...
  • Anthropic reveals the technical mechanism behind Claude's new watermarking system: it exploits the randomness in "low-stakes" word choices to create an undetectable pattern, proving AI watermarking can work without degrading output quality.

    ·ai ml·AI watermarking, SynthID-Text, Claude...
  • DHH built Basecamp in 380 hours at $15/hour and still makes millions from the 16-year-old discontinued version—his secret is treating constraints as competitive advantage and eventually transcending capitalism itself by building things with no customers at all.

    ·startups business·37signals philosophy, Basecamp, bootstrapping...
  • Achievement without self-acceptance is drinking salt water to quench your thirst—Stanford GSB professor Graham Weaver reveals why we're playing two games simultaneously (internal and external), and gives three metacognition practices to win both.

    ·philosophy growth·internal game, external game, metacognition...
  • Airtable's $1.3B acquisition after an $11.7B peak valuation isn't a distressed sale story—it's the canary in the coal mine for ZIRP-era SaaS unicorns facing a double whammy of valuation recalibration and AI disruption.

    ·startups business·Airtable acquisition, ZIRP era, valuation reset...
  • Steve Jobs was right: Dropbox is a feature, not a product—and its $931M in annual free cash flow with no growth makes it the perfect private equity target for a leveraged harvest-and-milk strategy.

    ·startups business·private equity, Dropbox, 7 Powers framework...
Loading more...